USD/JPY Forex Technical Analysis for June 22, 2016
Forex Technical Analysis – The USD/JPY pair broke higher during the course of the session on Tuesday, but as you can see the 105 level continues to be resistive. Because of this, I’m waiting to see whether or not we get an exhaustive candle that I can start selling, probably off of the short term charts. Ultimately, this is a market that looks as if it is consolidating, and as a result I think that a pullback is likely. On the other hand though, if we break above the 105 level I think that there is more than likely going to be a move to the 106 handle.
In Other View – JPY rock solid amidst Fed’s dovishness in play – AGFXC
Greg Gibbs, Director at Amplifying Global FX Capital, suggests that the Fed FOMC was quite dovish and pessimistic by downgrading the outlook for rates over the medium term to reflect a weaker outlook for US growth potential.
“This may reinforce the weaker USD trend that has taken hold since early this year. The Fed has proven very sensitive to the payrolls report and even more attention will apply to this report in coming months.
JPY is rock solid despite the rising hope of Bremain. The strong JPY is significantly undermining the effectiveness of BoJ policy and keeping downward pressure on global bond yields. Policymakers in Japan appear to have lost the initiative over controlling expectations and financial market outcomes. It is far from clear whether further BoJ or fiscal policy easing anticipated after the 10 July upper house elections will be enough to turn the tide in the JPY.
The trend towards a weaker USD/JPY is having broader consequences; it is contributing to very low global bond yields, spilling over to broader weakness in the USD, placing upward pressure on global asset prices, albeit in an environment of low confidence and fear of over-valuation, and contributing to a rising gold price as investors seek an alternative to low yielding bonds and assets and fear more adventurous central bank policy.”
In Other View Point – Possible upside move
Looking to hit the target at leg D around 112.00 area before shorting down. * This trading idea was published due to study purpose only. All the risk taking are at your own responsibility. Any thoughts and ideas please do share